Crypto Daybook Americas: Bitcoin Reasserts Itself as Stocks, Bonds Fall, Gold Hits Record High

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By James Van Straten (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

Few quotes better capture the current turbulence in global markets. For decades, the classic portfolio of 60% equities and 40% bonds was considered the cornerstone of balanced investing. This allocation typically offered protection in downturns through bonds, while equities drove returns in times of economic growth.

We saw this play out during crises like 2008 and 2020, when iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) surged amid global uncertainty. Today, that dynamic has been upended. With persistent geopolitical tension ignited by President Donald Trump's tariffs, stubborn inflation and slowing growth, Treasury yields have climbed and bond prices fallen. TLT is now down some 50% from its 2020 highs.

The equity side of the portfolio isn’t faring much better. U.S. stocks are underperforming, caught in what some are calling a broader "Sell America" trade. Even the dollar, which typically strengthens in risk-off environments, is weakening as capital flows shift toward the yen and euro.

In this new regime, alternative assets are taking center stage. Gold has surged to $3,500 an ounce for the first time, cementing its role as a haven. To underscore its meteoric rise: the precious metal has added about $6 trillion in market cap this year, triple the market cap of bitcoin (BTC) at its all-time high. Gold ETF inflows, measured over a 90-day rolling period, are approaching 9 million ounces, the biggest surge since 2022 and among the largest in the past decade.

Bitcoin, while lagging behind gold, is also reasserting itself. It has reached new highs in dominance within the crypto market and is beginning to diverge from U.S. tech stocks. It’s increasingly behaving like an uncorrelated asset, valuable in a diversified portfolio. This Friday, $6.7 billion in bitcoin options are set to expire, including $330 million in call options at the $100,000 strike price, setting the stage for a potentially volatile final week of April. Stay alert!

What to Watch
Crypto:
April 22: The Lyora upgrade goes live on the Injective (INJ) mainnet.
April 25, 1 p.m.: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Crypto Task Force Roundtable on "Key Considerations for Crypto Custody".
April 28: Enjin Relaychain increases active validator slots to 25 from 15, to enhance decentralization.
April 29, 1:05 a.m.: BNB Chain (BNB) — BSC mainnet hardfork.
April 30, 9:30 a.m.: ProShares expects its XRP ETF, offering exposure through futures and swap agreements, to begin trading on NYSE Arca.
April 30, 10:03 a.m.: Gnosis Chain (GNO), an Ethereum sister chain, will activate the Pectra hard fork on its mainnet at slot 21,405,696, epoch 1,337,856.
Macro
Day 2 of 6: World Bank (WB) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) spring meetings in Washington.
April 22, 8:30 p.m.: Statistics Canada releases March producer price inflation data.
PPI MoM Est. 0.3% vs. Prev. 0.4%
PPI YoY Prev. 4.9%
April 22, 6 p.m.: Fed Governor Adriana D. Kugler will deliver a speech titled "Transmission of Monetary Policy."
April 23, 8 a.m.: Mexico’s National Institute of Statistics and Geography releases retail sales data.
Retail Sales MoM Prev. 0.6%
Retail Sales YoY Prev. 2.7%
April 23, 9:45 a.m.: S&P Global releases (flash) U.S. April purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data.
Composite PMI Prev. 53.5
Manufacturing PMI Est. 49.4 vs. Prev. 50.2
Services PMI Est. 52.8 vs. Prev. 54.4
Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
April 22: Tesla (TSLA), post-market
April 30: Robinhood Markets (HOOD), post-market
May 1: Block (XYZ), post-market

Token Events
Governance votes & calls
Aave DAO is discussing partnering with Ether.fi to create a custom Aave market on EVM layer 2 to “facilitate on-chain credit for everyday payments through the Ether.fi Cash credit card program.”
April 23, 9 p.m.: Manta Network to host a townhall meeting with its founders.
April 24, 8 a.m.: Alchemy Pay to host an Ask Me Anything (AMA) session on its 2025 roadmap.
April 30, 12 p.m.: Helium to host a community call meeting.
Unlocks
April 30: Optimism (OP) to unlock 1.89% of its circulating supply worth $21.83 million.
May 1: Sui (SUI) to unlock 2.28% of its circulating supply worth $170.93 million.
May 1: ZetaChain (ZETA) to unlock 5.67% of its circulating supply worth $10.46 million.
May 2: Ethena (ENA) to unlock 0.73% of its circulating supply worth $11.92 million.
May 7: Kaspa (KAS) to unlock 0.56% of its circulating supply worth $13 million.
May 9: Movement (MOVA) to unlock 2.04% of its circulating supply worth $11.23 million.
Token Launches
April 22: Hyperlane to airdrop its HYPER tokens.
April 22: BNB to be listed on Kraken.
April 23: Zora to airdrop its ZORA tokens.
April 24: Initia (INIT) to be listed on Binance, CoinW, WEEX, KuCoin, MEXC, and others.
Conferences:
CoinDesk's Consensus is taking place in Toronto on May 14-16. Use code DAYBOOK and save 15% on passes.
Day 1 of 3: Money20/20 Asia (Bangkok)
April 23: Crypto Horizons 2025 (Dubai)
April 23-24: Blockchain Forum 2025 (Moscow)
April 24: Bitwise's Investor Day for Bitcoin Standard Corporations (New York)
April 26: Crypto Vision Conference 2025 (Manilla)
April 26-27: Harvard Blockchain in Action Conference (Cambridge, Mass.)
April 27: N Crypto Conference 2025 (Kyiv)
April 27-30: Web Summit Rio 2025
April 28-29: Blockchain Disrupt 2025 (Dubai)
April 28-29: Staking Summit Dubai
April 29: El Salvador Digital Assets Summit 2025 (San Salvador)
April 29: IFGS 2025 (London)

Token Talk
By Shaurya Malwa

Pope Francis' death on Easter Monday triggered significant activity in crypto markets and prediction platforms as traders aimed to capitalize on the news.
LUCE, a Solana-based memecoin tied to the Vatican's Holy Year 2025 mascot, surged 45% in value, reaching $0.013, according to CoinGecko data.
Daily trading volume in the token skyrocketed to $60.27 million from $5 million the previous day, despite the price being down 95% from its November peak of 30 cents.
Although unaffiliated with the Vatican, LUCE has attracted around 44,800 holders.
Meanwhile, a Polymarket bet on who will be the next pope has attracted over $3.5 million in volumes since going live on Dec. 31, with over 18 candidates in the mix.
As of Tuesday morning, Pietro Parolin leads odds at 37%, followed by Luis Antonio Tagle at 23% and Matteo Zuppi at 11%.
Derivatives Positioning
HBAR, XLM and TRX have seen the most growth in perpetual futures open interest among major tokens in the past 24 hours. However, only TRX has seen a positive cumulative volume delta, implying an influx of new money predominantly on the bullish side.
BTC's open interest in has increased to 695K BTC, the most since March 25. ETH's open interest held shy of the recent record above 11.9 million ETH.
Perpetual funding rates for most major tokens remain marginally positive in a sign of cautiously bullish sentiment.
On Deribit, BTC's short and near-dated calls are now trading at par or a slight premium to puts, another sign of renewed bullishness. ETH puts, however, continue to trade at a premium to calls.
Block options flows have been muted on Paradigm, with calendar spreads and April put spreads lifted in BTC and ETH.